Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years? | Manifold

Will Open AI ‘collapse’ in the next two years?

6

100Ṁ125

Aug 1

22%

chance

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Resolves YES if OpenAI ceases to exist in its current form in the next two years.

https://x.com/edzitron/status/1817955630784917548?s=46&t=6nPE5hAfCrWAyKRnBXm4IQ

Market context

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

Does acquisition at a higher value than today resolve yes?

Yes - this market will be evaluated on case-by-case basis and weighs financial collapse more heavily; however, if acquisition causes Open AI cease to exist in its current form (eg. under MSFT, in its current structure, dissolved or wrapped into new company) -> resolve YES.

People are also trading

Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?

Will AI (large language models) collapse by may 2026?

Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?

Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?

Will OpenAI fold by EOY 2026?

Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026?

Will OpenAI cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Will OpenAI lose the lead in AI continually for a period of at least 6 months during the next three years?

Will open-source AI win? (through 2028)

Related questions

Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?

Will AI (large language models) collapse by may 2026?

Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?

Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?

Will OpenAI fold by EOY 2026?

Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026?

Will OpenAI cause human extinction in the next 5 years?

Will OpenAI lose the lead in AI continually for a period of at least 6 months during the next three years?

Will open-source AI win? (through 2028)

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy