What year AGI?
Basic
8
Ṁ3352035
30%
5%
2027
5%
2029
4%
2028
5%
2026
5%
2025
26%
2024
0.9%
>2035
5%
2031
14%
Never
Based on normie media eg NYT WSJ "AGI is here" stuff
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will we get AGI before 2033?
69% chance
Will we get AGI before 2031?
68% chance
Will we get AGI before 2029?
52% chance
Will we get AGI before 2032?
69% chance
Will we get AGI before 2028?
39% chance
What is the best definition of AGI? (add your own)
Will we get AGI before 2034?
70% chance
What year will mark the first true AGI?
2029
Will we get AGI before 2028?
23% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?
37% chance