How far we are from AGI?

MANIFOLD

Ṁ150Ṁ77

resolved May 27

Resolved

N/A

ALL

NO = very far

YES = very close

Definition of AGI: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_general_intelligence

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banned creator, limited traders, and incomplete criteria - I'm going to NA this market as it's showing up on the home feed again due to algorithm changes. there are alternative agi markets including this one

I made a symbolic NO bet of Ṁ1 because we are, in fact, getting closer to AGI, but I would encourage you to make markets with clearer resolution criteria. Do you think AI will have certain impressive abilities soon? Do you think the hype bubble will burst and AGI companies will fail? Etc.

predictedYES

@JacyAnthis *YES bet

@JacyAnthis criteria is first of all the definition of AGI: so a general intelligence, actually autonomous, different AI can achieve impressive abilities, but still don't make it easier to arrive at what we can call an AGI. So the question is: are we still far or we are very close to achieve it? That was my idea.