How far we are from AGI?
6
124
Ṁ78Ṁ150
2030
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
NO = very far
YES = very close
Definition of AGI: https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_general_intelligence
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I made a symbolic NO bet of Ṁ1 because we are, in fact, getting closer to AGI, but I would encourage you to make markets with clearer resolution criteria. Do you think AI will have certain impressive abilities soon? Do you think the hype bubble will burst and AGI companies will fail? Etc.
@JacyAnthis criteria is first of all the definition of AGI: so a general intelligence, actually autonomous, different AI can achieve impressive abilities, but still don't make it easier to arrive at what we can call an AGI. So the question is: are we still far or we are very close to achieve it? That was my idea.
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