When will Australia deploy troops to fight in a European war?
9
59
420
2050
2%
Before 2025
15%
Before 2028
23%
Before 2030
28%
Before 2035
44%
Before 2040
52%
Before 2050

The closest thing atm is operation Kudu, where Australians are assisting the UK with Ukraine training programs.

  • Soldiers need to be actively fighting

  • The mission must involve actively fighting a nation's troops and not an anti-terrorism operation

"Before 2030" = Any date before January 1st, 2030, as long as it is still December 31st in any Australian time zone.

All correct answers will resolve YES, additional answers can be added for increased granularity or to extend the market over time.

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The mission must involve actively fighting a nation's troops and not an anti-terrorism operation

Are these things mutually exclusive? Fighting the Afghan Taliban seems to count as both. Same with the Islamic State back when it was an actual state with territory and everything. Of course neither of these qualify due to not being in Europe, but if something similar happens in Europe, what happens?

@BrunoParga I'd like to say it needs to be a war with a recognised government, but if the group is the effective government like the Taliban, then I think that should count as a nation.

If we deployed troops to fight terrorists in Abkhazia (wiki), I would probably not count that as a nation because it's just a bunch of dudes in Georgia who Russia has empowered to call themselves their own state

If they were powerful enough to be the effective (strongest) governing force in Georgia, I would consider it war with the nation of Georgia - like with Taliban in Afghanistan, even though not recognised

Hopefully none of these edge cases come up!

.... or, hopefully they do? Cause otherwise we're in a more serious war lol