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MANIFOLD
What will the results of the next Israeli election be?
8
Ṁ100Ṁ140
Oct 28
33%
Another Netanyahu Cabinet
48%
Hung Knesset - coalition plurality
10%
Hung Knesset (non-Arab) -Opposition plurality
10%
Opposition Majority

Context:

Statements made by primary opposition leaders Naftali Bennett and Gadi Eisenkot indicate desire to not form a government with Arab parties like the leftist Hadash-Ta’al bloc or the Islamist Ra’am. As a result, there could be a Knesset where neither Likud and their allies nor the primary opposition parties could form a majority as was the case after the 2019 elections.

Market context
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