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What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)
Basic
8
Ṁ1.7k2050
1D
1W
1M
ALL
69%
Manifold shuts down.
15%
Worldwide carbon neutrality is achieved.
60%
China's GDP surpasses that of the United State
28%
A worldwide pandemic kills at least 2% of the human population in a single year.
66%
(Nominal) worldwide GDP reaches 500T USD.
55%
Mana gets devalued (compared to USD) again (donation rate used 1000M:0.95USD).
90%
This market reaches 100+ traders.
51%
This market reaches 250+ traders.
37%
This market reaches 500+ traders.
31%
This market reaches 1000+ traders.
81%
This market reaches 50+ answers.
54%
Someone gets a (Manifold) networth of 1B+ mana.
72%
organs for transplantation are mostly artificial/laboratory grown for the biological humans
57%
A human walks on Mars.
69%
This market reaches 50k in total volume.
39%
An ASI trades on, adds an option to, or comments on this market.
20%
@GastonKessler goes to space.
38%
Elon Musk goes bald a second time.
33%
A billionaire CEO successfully buys a country.
69%
This market reaches 100+ answers.
Feel free to add answers!
If you don't want to add an answer because of the cost, suggest an answer in the comments and I'll tip you 10-50 mana if I think it's good + more if it does really well.
If a question can't be resolved objectively, it will be resolved according to a poll.
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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"An ASI trades on, adds an option to, or comments on this market"
" @GastonKessler goes to space"
"A billionaire CEO successfully buys a country"
"Elon Musk goes bald a second time"
This market reaches 100+ traders.
@GastonKessler this wont get 100+ or 250+ traders if you don't share it or make it more visible ... make it more visible, you can do it ... :)
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