What will happen before 2050? (Mega market)
27
4.1kṀ5491
2050
50%
A Manifold business is valued at over 10M Mana (by a significant >2.5% purchase)
50%
A manifold market reaches over 20k individual traders.
50%
A manifold market reaches over 10k individual traders.
30%
A US president (other than FDR) has served three terms.
80%
Alcor still exists, and nobody in their freezers has been thawe.
25%
USA has a single-payer healthcare system.
32%
A billionaire successfully buys a country.
51%
Strutheo's Manifold approval market index remains at or above 75% for one month
29%
A US president gets elected with over 450 electoral votes.
31%
This market gets a Sweepstakes/other cash version.
82%
This market reaches 500k in total volume.
50%
The UN reaches 200 member states.
33%
3 US presidential candidates get at least 60 electoral votes each in a US presidential election.
35%
Malaria goes extinct
80%
30 different users add an answer to this market.
42%
Global extreme poverty below 1% of the population
35%
the calendar is changed
72%
Ray Kurzweil dies
41%
YoY US inflation (CPI) reaches over 25%
26%
majority of human babies are delivered from artificial system, rather than via natural pregnancy

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  • Update 2025-26-01 (PST): - 2024 is the first calendar year that has reached more than 1.5°C above the pre-industrial level. (AI summary of creator comment)

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