What significant changes in modern life will occur by the year 2030? [add answers]
36
3.1kṀ61532029
50%
Encountering a humanoid robot in public and not being surprised
30%
People spending large amounts of time in VR hardware (100+ million hours per week in the US)
25%
Fully driverless cars are >=1% of miles driven in the US
21%
Major armed conflict between world powers breaks out (World War 3)
15%
Revolutionary breakthrough in fusion energy
15%
Any government in the world (local, regional, national) is run by an AI system
7%
Global digital currency replaces traditional banking systems
5%
Space tourism/travel becomes commercially viable for middle class
This question is an attempt to gather criteria to resolve this question: https://manifold.markets/rohanvisme/will-the-world-look-shockingly-simi
Questions will resolve to to YES if they have occurred by January 1st, 2030.
Update 2025-28-01 (PST): - Threshold for VR usage: 100 million hours per week in the US (AI summary of creator comment)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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