What will happen before 2075? (Mega market)
Basic
1
Ṁ60
2075
80%
Manifold shuts down.
80%
A human walks on Mars.
80%
Global extreme poverty below 1% of the population
50%
Worldwide carbon neutrality is achieved.
50%
China's GDP surpasses that of the United States
50%
A worldwide pandemic kills at least 2% of the human population in a single year.
50%
(Nominal) worldwide GDP reaches 500T USD.
50%
Mana gets devalued (compared to USD) again (donation rate used 1000M:0.95USD).
50%
This market reaches 100+ traders.
50%
This market reaches 250+ traders.
50%
This market reaches 500+ traders.
50%
This market reaches 50+ answers.
50%
Someone gets a (Manifold) networth of 1B+ mana.
50%
organs for transplantation are mostly artificial/laboratory grown for the biological humans
50%
This market reaches 50k in total volume.
50%
An ASI trades on, adds an option to, or comments on this market.
50%
@GastonKessler goes to space.
50%
Elon Musk goes bald a second time.
50%
A billionaire CEO successfully buys a country.
50%
This market reaches 100+ answers.

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I'll upgrade this if it

@GastonKessler to plus if it gets over 10 traders.

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