Will the 2024 Brazilian elections have more military-affiliated candidates than in 2020?
7
16
601
Nov 15
43%
chance

In the 2020 Brazilian elections, there was a record number of military candidates - the highest in the last 16 years, as reported by [G1](https://g1.globo.com/politica/eleicoes/2020/eleicao-em-numeros/noticia/2020/10/01/eleicoes-2020-terao-o-maior-numero-de-candidatos-militares-dos-ultimos-16-anos.ghtml).

This market aims to predict whether the 2024 Brazilian elections will have an even higher number of military-affiliated candidates than the 2020 elections.

For the purpose of this market, a candidate is considered military-affiliated if their military affiliation is explicitly mentioned on the name for the ballot.

The market resolves as "Yes" if the total number of military-affiliated candidates in the 2024 Brazilian elections surpasses the number of military-affiliated candidates in the 2020 elections, and "No" otherwise.

Official election data from the Brazilian government or a reliable news source will be used to determine the final number of military-affiliated candidates for resolution purposes.

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