MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
15
Ṁ600Ṁ860
2031
15%
Other
13%
Flávio Dino
11%
Fernando Haddad
11%
Ronaldo Caiado
11%
Jair Bolsonaro
10%
Tarcísio de Freitas
8%
Flávio Bolsonaro
4%
Gusttavo Lima
3%
Pablo Marçal
3%
Ratinho Junior
3%
Rosângela Lula da Silva
2%
Romeu Zema
1.4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1.3%
Simone Tebet
1.3%
Michelle Bolsonaro

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2030 Brazilian presidential election.

This market's closing date, currently 6 January 2031, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear.

If no presidential election is held in Brazil in 2030, this market shall resolve to "No one".

I will not bet on this market.

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