MANIFOLD
Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
17
Ṁ600Ṁ1k
2031
15%
Other
14%
Flávio Bolsonaro
13%
Tarcísio de Freitas
11%
Fernando Haddad
9%
Jair Bolsonaro
7%
Eduardo Leite
7%
Ronaldo Caiado
5%
Flávio Dino
3%
Gusttavo Lima
3%
Pablo Marçal
3%
Ratinho Junior
3%
Rosângela Lula da Silva
1.9%
Romeu Zema
1.4%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1.3%
Simone Tebet
1.2%
Michelle Bolsonaro

The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the winner of the 2030 Brazilian presidential election.

This market's closing date, currently 6 January 2031, may be pushed back if needed to ensure that it can stay open until the results are clear.

If no presidential election is held in Brazil in 2030, this market shall resolve to "No one".

I will not bet on this market.

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