Will Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
61
Ṁ1kṀ18kJan 2
36%
chance
5
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to NO if he does not run
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Who will be on the ballot for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Lula be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
98% chance
Brazil 2026 Election: Will Lula get more votes than in 2022 (59,563,912) in any round?
47% chance
Will Lula finish his term as President of Brazil?
94% chance
Will Jair Bolsonaro be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2% chance
Will Fernando Haddad be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
1% chance
Will Lula be impeached?
6% chance
Will Tarcísio de Freitas be a candidate for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
3% chance
Who will win the 2030 Brazilian presidential election?
Will Brazil 2026 election have the same outcome as the US 2024 election?
9% chance