This market will resolve at the end of 2050 based on available data and verifiable sources when the following conditions are set for a country:

1. A distinct region within the country must declare and gain its independence.

2. At least one other sovereign nation must officially recognize the independence of this region.

3. The declaration and recognition must occur before the end of 2050.

Market for 2030: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d

Market for 2100: https://manifold.markets/FlorinSays/which-countries-will-have-regions-d-8684478bf61d

• Update 2024-11-12 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If multiple regions gain independence during the market period, a single successful independence event is sufficient for a YES resolution

  • If no regions gain independence during the market period, the market will resolve to NO