In this market, a “strike” refers specifically to U.S. missiles, drones, or aircraft delivering munitions that hit physical targets inside Iran. This market asks whether that threshold is crossed by March 1 2026 Iranian time (GMT+3:30)
Resolution will be based on reliable sources as defined by Wikipedia.
I will bet on this market.
1,000People are also trading
@prismatic I don't make markets often, what happens to the liquidity I inject once the market resolves? If it just disappears, I'm not interested. I put up a limit order, and I'd encourage people to do the same...
@FergusArgyll About liquidity: keep in mind the tiers of the rewards you earn for each unique trader on your question. I created my most successful question recently with 1k liquidity, so I am getting 10 Mana per unique trader. It is nuts, I earned 3k. Had I created the market with 100 Mana, I would only have earned 3 per trader, 900 instead of 3k.
That being said, you should expect to lose Mana from adding liquidity, refer to https://docs.manifold.markets/faq#how-much-mana-will-i-get-back-from-subsidising-a-market
