
In this market, a “strike” refers specifically to U.S. missiles, drones, or aircraft delivering munitions that hit physical targets inside Iran. This market asks whether that threshold is crossed by March 1 2026 Iranian time (GMT+3:30)
Resolution will be based on reliable sources as defined by Wikipedia.
I will bet on this market.
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I woke up 8:15 to the sounds of sirens and bombing, my first thought was "8000 manna, let's go"
GG folks
US and Israel launch a major attack on Iran.
https://apnews.com/article/iran-us-explosion-tehran-c2f11247d8a66e36929266f2c557a54c
@256 Currently in Israel, I have a flight back to the US in a week & half, I wonder what the odds are there'll be flights then...
@TheAllMemeingEye yet again, Manifold is great at predicting things as long as the market remains open after the event has occurred in the real world so everyone can trade after the fact!



