MANIFOLD
Which of the following things happen in relation to the Texas Senate Election in 2026?
9
Ṁ275Ṁ746
Dec 31
55%
The GOP nominee outruns Donald Trump's 2020 margin
54%
John Cornyn is the GOP nominee
41%
Ken Paxton is the GOP nominee
34%
The GOP nominee outruns Ted Cruz's 2018 margin
17%
One of the two GOP runoff candidates drops out
16%
The SAVE Act is passed as part of a deal to get Paxton to withdraw
5%
Ken Paxton is confirmed by the U.S. Senate to an executive branch position
5%
John Cornyn resigns from the Senate early
5%
Ken Paxton resigns as Texas AG early
5%
Ken Paxton becomes a federal judge
4%
Ken Paxton is confirmed by the U.S. Senate to head a major department (i.e. DOJ, FBI)

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