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MANIFOLD
Will any US Senate election in 2026 have a winning margin of 1.000% or less?
8
Ṁ1kṀ9.5k
Dec 31
99%
chance
29

Resolves yes if any us senate election in 2026 has a winning margin of 1.000% or less.

If a senate goes to a runoff (eg. Georgia) resolves based on runoff only. First round ignored.

In Alaska and Maine with ranked choice voting, resolves yes if the final round margin is 1.000% or less.

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filled a Ṁ2,979 YES at 95% order

I think this will be triggered with Colom vs Hyde-Smith in Mississippi.