Will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat in the next 2 weeks?
Nuclear Risk
18
11
แน€160
resolved Oct 20
Resolved
NO

Market resolves to YES in the event that a nuclear weapon is confirmed to be launched for combat, non-testing purposes before Oct 19, 2022, anywhere in the world.

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predicted NO

In the entire history of this market, only M$15 of M$2351 was ever put on "YES".

predicted NO

  1. Buy "YES".

  2. ????

  3. Profit!

@brp There are very few people in the world who can do step 2, and most of them do not use Manifold.

I suggest changing launched to detonated, as per discussion on the other market.

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