Will a nuclear weapon be launched in combat in the next 2 weeks?
18
160Ṁ2361resolved Oct 20
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Market resolves to YES in the event that a nuclear weapon is confirmed to be launched for combat, non-testing purposes before Oct 19, 2022, anywhere in the world.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ80 | |
2 | Ṁ5 | |
3 | Ṁ5 | |
4 | Ṁ4 | |
5 | Ṁ3 |
People are also trading
Will a nuclear weapon be used in a war by the end of this decade?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
17% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
14% chance
Will we see a nuclear weapon used to attack another country within the next decade?
10% chance
When will the next attack by a nuclear weapon take place?
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
15% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in a war during the 2nd Trump administration?
11% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
13% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
12% chance
Sort by:
@brp There are very few people in the world who can do step 2, and most of them do not use Manifold.
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a nuclear weapon be used in a war by the end of this decade?
15% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2027?
17% chance
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2026?
14% chance
Will we see a nuclear weapon used to attack another country within the next decade?
10% chance
When will the next attack by a nuclear weapon take place?
Will any nuclear weapon be detonated in 2028?
15% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in a war during the 2nd Trump administration?
11% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as part of the middle-east conflict before 2028?
13% chance
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated in combat before January 1, 2030?
12% chance