IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
9
110Ṁ2122030
58%
chance
1H
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Resolution matches with https://manifold.markets/NickHeinonen/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-12dc938abd23 except resolves N/A if the US is not a party to the Iran nuclear deal on 31 Dec 2025.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joint_Comprehensive_Plan_of_Action
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