IF the US re-enters the Iran deal by 2025 end THEN will Iran develop nuclear weapons by 2030?
9
110Ṁ2122030
58%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution matches with https://manifold.markets/NickHeinonen/will-iran-have-a-nuclear-weapon-by-12dc938abd23 except resolves N/A if the US is not a party to the Iran nuclear deal on 31 Dec 2025.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Joint_Comprehensive_Plan_of_Action
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
26% chance
Will Iran acquire a nuclear weapon by end of 2025?
8% chance
Will Iran obtain a nuke in 2025?
6% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by 2030?
28% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2030?
26% chance
Will Iran conduct a nuclear weapons test by the end of 2025?
6% chance
US nukes Iran in 2025?
3% chance
Will Iran have a nuclear weapon by the end of 2050?
35% chance
Will Iran acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
38% chance
Will Iran use a nuclear weapon in combat by 2030?
9% chance