Will all 18 "safe" Senate seats be won by their incumbent parties?
26
Ṁ1kṀ1.2kNov 3
69%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
7 Democratic safe seats: CO DE MA NJ OR RI VA
11 Republican ones: AL AR ID KY LA MS OK SD TN WV WY
Resolution exactly according to these markets (7 and 11 buckets, respectively):
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a Republican win in the following US Senate 2026 elections?
How many "safe" Senate seats will the Democrats win in 2026? (CO DE MA NJ OR RI VA)
7.16
2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
How many "safe" Senate seats will Republicans win in 2026? (AL AR ID KY LA MS OK SD TN WV WY)
How many "safe" House seats will flip in 2026?
Will Democrats win any of Alaska, Iowa, or Ohio in the Senate races this year?
70% chance
If Democrats win the senate in the 2026 midterms, which seats did they win?
Will Republicans maintain control of the US Senate following the 2026 midterm elections?
55% chance
How many of these democrats will be elected senators in November?
Republicans win at least one of ME/MN/NC Senate seats in 2026?
42% chance