The Reactor Pilot Program aims to streamline the development process for new fission reactor designs. Which of the listed projects will achieve criticality by the target date?
Oklo, Inc submitted two projects. If either achieves criticality, the "one or both projects" option will resolve Yes. If they both do, the "both projects" option will also resolve Yes.
Resolution will be based on DoE announcements as the primary source, with a consensus of credible reporting as additional sourcing if required.
For minor schedule slips, see: /EvanDaniel/which-doe-reactor-pilot-program-rea-EQc0n6CEuO
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@MarySmith ”by the” is generally inclusive of the date in question. @EvanDaniel has final say though. 👍
@Runestone Inclusive of the 4th. Why does the time zone matter? It sounds like it happened at 12:20am MT, which would be on or before the fourth in any relevant time zone, right?
Clearly we need an "anywhere in the US" designation.
@EvanDaniel No, if it happened at 12a MT on the 4th, then it happened at 11p on the 3rd. If the 4th was not inclusive AND the time zone mattered for a time zone ahead of PT, should resolve NO.
You said it was inclusive though.
Congratulations to @Runestone , your profit is well earned on this, I was too risk averse to bring it to 99% 😂
@traders as best I can tell, I've resolved the only two on this list that achieved it, and all the rest should resolve No. I don't see anything to indicate Aalo did, and they're the only ones trading above noise. If I'm missing anything, please post it in the comments!
@EvanDaniel they were very close but no cigar. I expect them to resolve for the other market in a couple days?
Deployable Energy (Unity reactor) not on this list, reported as reaching criticality.