Will commercial nuclear fusion exist in April of 2027?
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15%
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Nuclear fusion at April 2027 probably is unlikely
Resolves yes if a entity allowed consumers to get the fusion energy this entity has
Go bet on your opinion not mine
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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Nuclear fusion is soo far away from being commercially viable, as in produces more electricity out than you put in, doesn't require constant repair, runs all the time, etc…. Even if we figured it out today, it still takes a long time to build, make operational, make safe, get permissions, and the such. Even nuclear fission power stations take a long time to build and make operational.
Every effort is a small increment closer, a market about how far one of the upcoming small increments succeeds could be interesting.
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