The Reactor Pilot Program aims to streamline the development process for new fission reactor designs. How many of the projects will achieve criticality by the target date?
For specific projects, see:
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3-4 Should resolve yes, since Aalo achieved criticality on 2026-07-04 https://www.energy.gov/articles/department-energy-celebrates-fourth-criticality-ahead-july-4th-goal
https://www.energy.gov/articles/us-department-energy-meets-president-trumps-goal-delivers-third-advanced-reactor
@Jen6382 I really hate the n/a resolution, in no small part because it seems to encourage this sort of bad faith angle shooting around "ambiguity". "I'll make a tiny long odds bet on a weird definition, then suggest that it should either work or resolve n/a and either way I win." If you have questions about the market, ask before you bet.
This market will not resolve n/a.
As best I can tell, Deployable Energy is doing amazing work, and congratulations to them are in order; as a result, the DoE has met the target of 3 reactors and the Reactor Pilot Program was a huge part of that success. However, the Deployable Energy reactor was not part of the Reactor Pilot Program.
One of the two is a complete wildcard, Deployable Energy, which wasn’t part of the DOE’s Reactor Pilot Program.
“We are honored to be selected for the Nuclear Energy Launch Pad program,”
[...]
developing a program aimed at building upon the Reactor Pilot Program
https://www.ans.org/news/article-8178/the-deadline-arrives-checking-in-on-the-reactor-pilot-program/
Deployable Energy was one of the two reactor-focused companies selected for the Nuclear Energy Launch Pad that was not already involved in the RPP.
If you think there's an ambiguity in the market, you're welcome to ask how it will resolve. I'd encourage you to do that early in the market, before the ambiguity becomes reality. If there is in fact an ambiguity, I'll do my best to come up with a reasonable resolution. The question still looks entirely applicable to me, though, so it won't be an n/a resolution.