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Will Starliner have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?

2% chance

Will Orion have crew on it next time it's launched to orbit?

98% chance

By when will New Glenn first launch with 9 engines?

By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch?

When will New Glenn 9x4 reach orbit for the first time?

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2040?

11% chance

Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2030?

1% chance

When will the next mission to Uranus be launched?

2033

When will the next mission to Kuiper Belt be launched?

2029

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hasn't launched on 25th

bought Ṁ1,113 NO

Crew-9 NET September 24
https://blogs.nasa.gov/commercialcrew/2024/08/06/nasa-adjusts-crew-9-launch-date-for-operational-flexibility/

bought Ṁ25 NO

Additionally, Crew-9 will be from SLC-40, first time they do a crewed launch from there. Might cause additional delays, maybe?

@Evan do you want to resolve 2024-08-19 early or nah? Doesn't seem likely NASA will do a mission earlier than the "no earlier than" date.

Good question. I used to be pretty strongly against that, but we used to have loans and it mattered less. I'm kinda leaning towards resolving early now that you suggest it. Maybe give it a couple days in case of weird stuff?

@traders would anyone object to resolving that option early?

Yeah I've been resolving early myself because of that. If it ever turns out wrong I'll try to contact mods to re-open basically.

For the 2024-08-19 option there's no Yes traders so resolving early wouldn't upset anyone