Will at least ten people join the "Manifold Markets Resolving Zoom Party" on January 1, 2024? EDIT delayed
44
830Ṁ15k
resolved Jan 9
Resolved
NO

EDIT: shocking news, I am busy jan 1st, will resolve YES if something like this happens in the next few days.

Original description:

I'll set one up for that morning and announce it here and on discord.

Activities:

  • Taking turns announcing resolutions of our year end markets with bragging and mourning

  • Creating one day markets for everyone to join

  • Awarding and reviewing the manifold markets 2023 awards (tbd)

  • Biggest mistakes and lucky guesses of 2023

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predictedYES

Sorry guys, I had high hopes but didn't make it happen this year. I turned out to be driving through death valley Dec 29-31 so a bit tough to organize ^_^

predictedYES

@Ernie oops i thought this was conditional on the meeting occuring

predictedNO

@jim I also thought this way, but I can't complain since I was betting NO.

predictedYES

@Ernie WTF

predictedYES

@Predictor sorry 😔 I also got sidetracked by the resolving party. I wanted a talking party instead but everyone was hard at work cleaning up the old markets. Felt bad to compete with that

predictedYES

@Ernie do you have a plan for this? I'm somewhat interested in attending

predictedNO

This delay kind of makes me think it makes it easier for a YES resolution, as now more time for people to get invested for YES and then attend, when the number of “natural” attendees on the original timeframe could have been a lot lower

Don’t particularly care as not over-invested, just an observation

predictedYES

@A16ab yes, sorry I should have marked subjective. I just wanted this as a place to accumulate people's RSVPs and ideas.

predictedYES

sorry, i've been really busy, and was traveling til evening on the 31. i would still like to do it and lots of people hearted various ideas, but not sure how serious they all are.i do have time this week but it depends

I assume this hasn't happened yet. Is market close a deadline? If not, can you extend and set a deadline?

I'm pretty sure this happened Jan 1st on discord, complete with screen sharing. Does it have to include you, or does it have to be on Zoom specifically?

predictedYES

@Tumbles that was about mods working to resolve markets. Not what I had in mind which would be more of a fun thing

predictedYES

updated desc, this happens today or in the next couple days, if so, it can still YES

predictedYES

hmm, okay I'm down for this. I'm going to join the other manifold live thing, though. what do people want out of this one, which that one won't do?

predictedYES

@Ernie okay, the other one is 100% just going over and talking about unresolved markets.

I was thinking more about something where we trade around who can screenshare, briefly advertise markets, talk about your year etc. will update when I have time (tomorrow)

predictedYES

@Ernie reminder to please post the zoom link or something

predictedYES

Hey guys the time is coming. How should we do this? My idea:

I can make a sign up sheet and people enter their usernames + lists of interesting year end markets

We get on zoom or Google meet

According to the sheet we each spend like 5-10 minutes each screen sharing on a couple of now ending markets

Also talk about how it went, what you expected vs what happened

The crowd can talk/comment in chat too

So overall it's a group video+audio chat but with sections with people introducing things etc

Other ideas?

Dates: Jan 1 or 2? Because so many claims end midnight on NYE it's guaranteed that there will be a big delay for most users

predictedYES

@Ernie extra stuff: at the end, how about everyone can promote some of their markets and beg for bettors, while they screen share the market. Time limit 1min/market

This would be great for MC markets of all types

predictedYES

@Ernie I support this plan.

@MP I also support this plan. Please post the zoom link and google sheet when they're ready

predictedYES

@CarsonGale let's goooooooooooooooooo

I'd go! Last year we called it "New Year's Resolutions"

predictedYES

@Conflux wow I missed that one!

Morning what time zone?

Fyi we normally host one in the Manifold Discord so it is as accessible as possible to our existing community there.

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