LLM or AI written US Federal Laws before 2027 | Manifold

LLM or AI written US Federal Laws before 2027

17

1kṀ766

2027

32%

chance

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A federal law in the United States that has been generated in full or in part using a large language model or AI will be passed by both the House of Representatives and the Senate, then go into legal effect before January 1, 2027.

For the purposes of this market, 'generated in full or in part using a large language model' means that an AI system's output contributed substantively to at least one section of the final enacted legislation.

The fact that it was written by an LLM or AI should be openly admitted to by the supporters or authors of the law, and must be the consensus view of its sponsors.

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Will Apple release its own LLM on par with state of the art LLMs before 2026?

What LLM API will work unmodified until the end of 2025?

Will an LLM do a task that the user hadn't requested in a notable way before 2026?

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