There will be a company which offers LLM or AI-based arbitration by 2030
12
27
Ṁ235Ṁ250
2030
82%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
i.e. a service where if you agree, you will promise that in the event of a dispute, you and others will submit information to an LLM/AI system for evaluation of the dispute.
Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
Manifold in the wild: A Tweet by EBFrench
Using LLMs for legal arbitration - this seems like a great idea (although potentially could go wrong). A good enough AI could be more trustworthy than humans. #ManifoldMarkets https://manifold.markets/StrayClimb/there-will-be-a-company-which-offer https://t.co/FOugagwVi8
Related questions
An AI will bindingly arbitrate a dispute in the United States before 2027
50% chance
Will a LLM-based AI be used for a law enforcement decision before 2025?
63% chance
Will Google have a better LLM than OpenAI by 2025?
31% chance
A pure binary LLM will exist by end of 2024
71% chance
Which company will have the best LLM by the end of 2024?
LLMs to the moon? (By 2030)
48% chance
What will be true of Anthropic's best LLM by EOY 2025?
Will the most interesting AI in 2027 be a LLM?
65% chance
In 2030, will most human-computer interactions happen through a LLM-interface?
24% chance
Will these LLM + search companies still be in business in 2027? [Free response]