This market is about whether: If something happens such that manifold markets folds or goes out of business, and there are no more active developers, they will sell to someone who will keep it alive so we don't lose the work (markets & predictions) put into it. The site will still be up and most real-world long-term markets (i.e. aliens found by 2050) remain up and able to be bet on. Some downtime (1 month is okay) but if after that the site is not up again, that's a NO.
If manifold doesn't go out of business by end date, expires NA. Otherwise it's bout whether someone ends up actually buying the site, and the site continues to be available.
End date Jan 1 2042
May 3, 12:48pm: If manifold goes out of business, they will sell the software to someone to continue it → If Manifold Markets as it is now goes out of business, it continues on in a useful form
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@NoaNabeshima That seems like a clear yes. i.e. in that case the first criteria for this claim would have been satisfied (gone out of business) as well as the second (it still exists)