Will the IDF fully withdraw from Gaza by EOY 2026?
Plus
8
Ṁ9502027
34%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will the IDF fully withdraw all troops from Gaza at any point between now and the end of 2026? If the IDF withdraws and then re-enters, this will still resolve Yes. If any IDF presence remains, it will not be considered a full withdrawal.
I will not bet on this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Israel occupy Gaza on a semi-permanent or permanent basis before 2025?
69% chance
Will Gaza be de facto controlled by Israel at the end of 2024?
12% chance
Will there still be Israeli hostages in Gaza, by the end of 2025
48% chance
Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
60% chance
Will the IDF relinquish control of the Philadelphi corridor before the end of 2024?
10% chance
Will Israel withdraw from the buffer zone with Syria by EOY 2025?
32% chance
Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
28% chance
Will the IDF continue occupying Gaza and killing civilians through the end of 2024?
91% chance
Will Israel annex Gaza by the end of 2024?
4% chance
Will Israel attempt to make Gazans leave "voluntarily" in 2024?
8% chance