
Will any US troops be deployed to fight in/occupy Gaza in 2025?
66
1kṀ11k2026
10%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Today Trump announced that he wants the US to take over Gaza. This market resolves YES if any US troops are officially sent to Gaza for the purpose of fighting Hamas or occupying terrority (humanitarian missions do not count). Will resolve based on both official government statements (from the US and Israel) and accounts from reputable media sources (NYT, WSJ, etc).
Update 2025-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Troop Requirement:
A minimum of 150 troops must be officially deployed to Gaza, as confirmed by reliable media sources.
Exclusions:
Deployments consisting solely of military advisors will not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there still be Israeli hostages in Gaza, by the end of 2025
40% chance
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
11% chance
Will Israel still have troops in the Gaza Strip at the end of 2025?
93% chance
Will the Israel - Hamas war spread to another location in 2025?
37% chance
Will Israel attempt to free any living hostages in Gaza through a military operation before the end of 2025?
55% chance
Will Israel establish direct governmental control of the Gaza Strip in 2025?
12% chance
Will Israel annex any part of Gaza by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will 50,000 United States citizens live in the Gaza strip by Jan 1 2029?
10% chance