Will any US troops be deployed to fight in/occupy Gaza in 2025?
66
1kṀ11k
2026
10%
chance

Today Trump announced that he wants the US to take over Gaza. This market resolves YES if any US troops are officially sent to Gaza for the purpose of fighting Hamas or occupying terrority (humanitarian missions do not count). Will resolve based on both official government statements (from the US and Israel) and accounts from reputable media sources (NYT, WSJ, etc).

  • Update 2025-02-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Troop Requirement:

    • A minimum of 150 troops must be officially deployed to Gaza, as confirmed by reliable media sources.

Exclusions:

  • Deployments consisting solely of military advisors will not count.

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