Who will win the 2026 Swedish Riksdag elections?
3
Ṁ100Ṁ244Sep 13
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
79%
S led bloc
15%
Right led bloc
6%
Grand coalition
A grand coalition is if S enters a coalition with either SD, M, or both.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
I assume this is about which bloc actually manages to form a government after the election? Because the left bloc could win a majority of seats, but still be unable to form a coalition government, which could lead to a grand coalition forming a government (or a new election).
People are also trading
Related questions
2026 Swedish general election prop bets (Add Answers)
Will nacionalists win Sweden elections in 2026
2% chance
Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?
36% chance
Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next?
Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?
15% chance
Which minor party will enter the Riksdag next?
Will Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election?
Who becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election?
Social Democrats win most seats in Sweden's 2026 election?
93% chance
Who will be the next Swedish prime minister?