MANIFOLD
Will nacionalists win Sweden elections in 2026
7
Ṁ110Ṁ704
Sep 14
3%
chance

Will a party with clearly nationalist and anti-immigration programme gain the most votes of all parties in the next (2026) elections? Question will be resolved after official results are published on the election's wikipedia page: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_Swedish_general_election

Market context
Politics
Elections
Elections: World
Sweden
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Social Democrats win most seats in Sweden's 2026 election?
93% chance
Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?
39% chance
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?
8% chance
Who becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election?
Will Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election?
Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next?
Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister?
52% chance
Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?
20% chance
Who will be the next Swedish prime minister?
Will Sweden keep being a democracy until 2030?
97% chance
Sort by:

what is a win? largest party or in government?

@nikki Good point, I edited the description 👍

predictedYES

@nikki By the way I am new here - do you know when payouts are handed out - when the question expires or when we actually get a result in 2026?

@TomasPlachy you should update the close time to 2026

predictedNO

@TomasPlachy payouts when the markets are resolved

People are also trading

Social Democrats win most seats in Sweden's 2026 election?
93% chance
Will the Sweden Democrats increase their share in parliament in the Swedish 2026 general election?
39% chance
Will Orbán Viktor's party win a supermajority of seats in the 2026 parliamentary election?
8% chance
Who becomes Swedish Prime Minister after 2026 election?
Will Sweden Democrats back or be in government after next election?
Which Swedish political party will successfully form a government next?
Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister?
52% chance
Liberals still in Riksdag after next election?
20% chance
Who will be the next Swedish prime minister?
Will Sweden keep being a democracy until 2030?
97% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy