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MANIFOLD
🇸🇪 Will Sweden’s Social Democrats win at least 31% of the vote in the September 13, 2026 general election?
18
Ṁ100Ṁ409
resolved Sep 19
Resolved
NO
6

Resolution Criteria

Resolve YES if the Social Democratic Party (Socialdemokraterna) receives 31.00% or more of the valid votes cast in Sweden’s 2026 Riksdag election.

Resolve NO if the party receives less than 31.00% of the valid votes.

Resolution will be based on the final official nationwide result published by the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten).

Preliminary election-night counts, exit polls, opinion polls, projections, or media calls do not determine resolution.

If the final official nationwide result is not available immediately after the market closes, the market will remain closed to trading but unresolved until Valmyndigheten publishes the final result.

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