How Long Will Trump Go To Jail?
8
240Ṁ639
2027
96%
< 1 year (includes 0 time)
1%
< 5 years
0.5%
< 10 years
0.6%
< 20 years
0.6%
< 30 years
1.1%
50+ years

Based on time sentenced.

Resolves on initial sentencing announcement (all counts combined), without waiting for appeals.


Resolves to < 1 year if not sentenced by the end of 2026.

Resolves to the lowest valid bracket. So a sentence of 9 years would resolve to < 10.

A sentence of home detention without actual jail time would fall under the [< 1 year] option.

'Trump' in this market refers to Donald Trump, the former President of the United States of America. That won't change if he becomes President again.

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