
Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030
14
16
Ṁ531Ṁ310
2029
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ56 +466.3%
New probability
19% +2%
This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that a civilian nuclear energy accident takes place in the US before 2030 which is judged to be responsible for at least one death within one year.
Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:59 pm
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araebought Ṁ75 of NO
This hasn't happened since either 1980 or 1964 depending if nuclear medicine counts. It seems unlikely it'll happen again in the next 8 years.

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