Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030 | Manifold

Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030

16

1kṀ1309

2029

9%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that a civilian nuclear energy accident takes place in the US before 2030 which is judged to be responsible for at least one death within one year.

Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:59 pm

Get

1,000

to start trading!

Sort by:

This hasn't happened since either 1980 or 1964 depending if nuclear medicine counts. It seems unlikely it'll happen again in the next 8 years.

Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

Related questions

Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?

-4% 1d20% chance

Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?

Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?

Will a nuclear weapon be used by 2030

Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?

Will there be a nuclear close call or accidental detonation before 2030?

Nuclear weapon detonations by 2033

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

Related questions

Will we get fusion reactors before 2030?

Will there be a nuclear close call or accidental detonation before 2030?

Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?

Nuclear weapon detonations by 2033

Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?

Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030

Will a nuclear weapon be used by 2030

Will there be a nuclear strike on a civilian or military target by 2030?

Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules