Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030 | Manifold

Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030

15

1kṀ757

2029

14%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market shall resolve to Yes in the event that a civilian nuclear energy accident takes place in the US before 2030 which is judged to be responsible for at least one death within one year.

Close date updated to 2029-12-30 11:59 pm

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This hasn't happened since either 1980 or 1964 depending if nuclear medicine counts. It seems unlikely it'll happen again in the next 8 years.

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