
Will there be another significant accident in a nuclear power plant before 2035?
4
1kṀ3692035
38%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if a nuclear power plant accident rated INES Level 7 (the highest severity level on the International Nuclear Event Scale) occurs before January 1, 2035. To date, only Chernobyl (1986) and Fukushima Daiichi (2011) have been rated INES level 7.
Resolution will be determined by official IAEA classification.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_Nuclear_and_Radiological_Event_Scale
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2025?
5% chance
Will there be a nuclear explosion in USA in 2025?
1% chance
Will there be a major nuclear disaster by 2030?
12% chance
Will a nuclear power incident cause 25 deaths (or equivalent) before 2030?
13% chance
Civilian nuclear accident in the US before 2030
9% chance
Will any new Nuclear Power Plants start producing power in America by the end of 2035?
86% chance
Will the reactor core of a nuclear power plant melt before EOY 2030?
16% chance
Will there be a Nuclear Explosion by 2030
69% chance
Will there be a confirmed theft of an operational nuclear bomb before 2035?
23% chance
Will a nuclear bomb be detonated somewhere in the world before 2033?
51% chance