Neuralink clinical trials: will someone be seriously injured or killed?
31
290
630
2025
13%
chance

Resolves positive 1 month after a credible news report of serious injury or death.

Resolves negative when the clinical trials finish.

Resolves ambiguous if trials are stopped early.

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If someone dies but the consensus is that the death was completely unrelated to the procedure (e.g. homicide), does that count as YES for this market?

I'd also like an answer for this - @ElliotDavies can you please confirm

@12c498e @shankypanky No - the death needs to be plausibly a result of Neuralink