Neuralink: How many years between medical and non-medical applications with widespread availability?
15
59
Ṁ369Ṁ605
2035
1D
1W
1M
ALL
36%
Medical application is permanently discontinued before widespread availability
9%
After widespread availability of Medical application, non-medical application is discontinued
4%
0
5%
1
6%
2
6%
3
6%
4
5%
5
4%
6
4%
7
4%
8
3%
9
9%
10+
Resolves to a linear interpolation of the nearest years, if both occur. If either application is discontinued, or Neuralink closes down or similar, the appropriate special option resolves YES.
Medical application with widespread availability: A Neuralink device that is available to the average person dealing with ALS, or quadreplegia, or some other major disability, in some major country.
Non-medical application with widespread availability: A Neuralink device that is available to the average person of some major country, regardless of their health.
If the release date for medical and non-medical applications is ambiguous, it may resolve to the judgement of a group of mods, or similar.
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