Will I be pregnant before I turn 34?
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Ṁ7.3kresolved Jun 6
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NO1D
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This market resolves to YES if I get a positive pregnancy test before June 3rd 2022.
Get Ṁ600 play money
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"Buying a small amount of no, my research shows that the correct price is around 39% for a 33 year old woman getting pregnant in 3 months, assuming regular unprotected sex."
To be honest, that seems kind of low. This site says 68%, which is much more plausible:
https://www.verywellfamily.com/how-quickly-can-you-expect-to-get-pregnant-1960290
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