Will I be pregnant before I turn 34?

64

127Ṁ7291

resolved Jun 6

Resolved

NO

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

This market resolves to YES if I get a positive pregnancy test before June 3rd 2022.

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predictedYES

CFMM moment

...is this market OK?

"Buying a small amount of no, my research shows that the correct price is around 39% for a 33 year old woman getting pregnant in 3 months, assuming regular unprotected sex." To be honest, that seems kind of low. This site says 68%, which is much more plausible: https://www.verywellfamily.com/how-quickly-can-you-expect-to-get-pregnant-1960290

#MoveThisMarket

YES pays out faster than NO comes due. I would expect people in this community to be better at causing things they really want to happen to happen than average.

Buying a small amount of no, my research shows that the correct price is around 39% for a 33 year old woman getting pregnant in 3 months, assuming regular unprotected sex.

Good luck ^_^

Buying some yes to profit from the hedging (good luck Elena!)

Buying some no as a hedge...

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Related questions

Will I have a baby with my decade-younger boyfriend by 2029?

Will I become a parent before May 14th, 2028?

Will I have a girlfriend before I turn 35, and if so how will we meet?

Will I be old before I die?

Will I have a fourth child before I get a vasectomy?

Before I am >40, I will be pregnant (presumably via uterine transplant)

Will I have kids at an earlier age than my mom had me?

Will Aella carry a pregnancy to term before she turns 45?

Will a trans woman give birth before 2033?

If I have a child before 2032 will it be a biological male?

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