MANIFOLD
Will I be pregnant before I turn 34?
64
Ṁ126Ṁ7.3k
resolved Jun 6
Resolved
NO
This market resolves to YES if I get a positive pregnancy test before June 3rd 2022.
Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ516
2Ṁ123
3Ṁ71
4Ṁ25
5Ṁ24

People are also trading

Sort by:
predictedYES
CFMM moment
...is this market OK?
"Buying a small amount of no, my research shows that the correct price is around 39% for a 33 year old woman getting pregnant in 3 months, assuming regular unprotected sex." To be honest, that seems kind of low. This site says 68%, which is much more plausible: https://www.verywellfamily.com/how-quickly-can-you-expect-to-get-pregnant-1960290
#MoveThisMarket
YES pays out faster than NO comes due. I would expect people in this community to be better at causing things they really want to happen to happen than average.
Buying a small amount of no, my research shows that the correct price is around 39% for a 33 year old woman getting pregnant in 3 months, assuming regular unprotected sex.
Good luck ^_^
Buying some yes to profit from the hedging (good luck Elena!)
Buying some no as a hedge...

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy