Resolution criteria
This market resolves to YES if, at any time before January 1, 2029 (11:59:59 PM UTC), both of the following conditions are met:
The U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) formally initiates criminal proceedings against Dr. Anthony Fauci by filing a federal criminal indictment, criminal information, or criminal complaint in a United States federal court.
Dr. Fauci is placed under arrest or formally taken into federal custody (including turning himself in for processing/arraignment) in connection with those federal criminal charges.
Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
Resolution will be verified via official court records accessible on PACER or official announcements published by the U.S. Department of Justice and corroborated by major news reporting. Civil lawsuits, congressional subpoenas/referrals, investigations that do not result in criminal charges and custody/arrest, or state-level proceedings do not qualify.
Background
Dr. Anthony Fauci served as the Director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases (NIAID) from 1984 to 2022 and acted as a chief medical advisor during the COVID-19 pandemic. He has long been the target of scrutiny and criminal referrals from congressional Republicans, notably Senator Rand Paul, over his sworn testimony concerning National Institutes of Health (NIH) grant funding and gain-of-function research in Wuhan.
On January 20, 2025, in his final hours in office, President Joe Biden granted Fauci a full and unconditional presidential pardon covering offenses from January 1, 2014, through January 20, 2025. For federal prosecution and arrest to occur, the DOJ would either need to successfully challenge the legal validity of the pardon, or charge Fauci for conduct falling outside the pardon's scope.
1,000