How Many SPACEX Launches Will Occur During January 2024?
Resolves To All Successful Launches Of All Variants Of Launch Vehicles On The Official Flight Manifest Page.
NOTES:
CLARIFICATIONS:
12/23/2023 : Occur During Beginning of January 1st 2024 12am ET (5am UTC) -January 31st 11:59pm ET (4:59 am UTC)
1/2/2024:
1/06/2023: On the manifest you will see 3 colors: Green is Successful, Orange is Partial Failure, Red is Failure.
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@ChristopherRandles I am going to stay true to the end date. I feel this is appropriate.
I do understand as a trader though the thought behind wanting it resolved now.
7 launched 3 planned 28th 29th 29th. Pad and droneships won't be ready again after those launches until February so it is now far more about will they get planned launches launched.l
@ChristopherRandles and especially CRS NG-20 could easily slip into February; it has only an instantaneous launch window on the 30th and the next opportunity is on February 1 (see https://www.spacex.com/launches/mission/?missionId=ng-20)
@SirCryptomind Been quite a few weather delays, and JRTI having maintenance at same time as pad 40 maintenance. Starlink launches can be announced with little notice, but with East coast launches planned for late 28th and 29th from those 2 pads there are no more possible slots there. Most of the probability in 8-11 seems about right to me.
>"Duplicate number entries will have to lowest % edited out and resolved No ASAP"
Is that somewhat open to gaming the system? eg lots of people betting on the right answer and then at last second someone creates duplicate and bids it up to more than the previously correct answer. Does that put people off betting on this market?
@ChristopherRandles nvm, Ill have to edit that, I had that from a different market that was unlinked.
Time UTC? or ?
Arb with:
https://manifold.markets/ChristopherRandles/resolve-increases-20-for-each-space-6b094ec53e25