[Polymarket] How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2024?
7
61
345
Dec 31
1.6%
1
3%
2
19%
3
30%
4
46%
5+

This market is a direct copy of a market from Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/how-many-spacex-starship-launches-reach-space-in-2024?tid=1711022044531). The resolution of this market will mirror the resolution of the original market.

The description of the original market (In polymarket the {number} is replaced with one, two, three, etc. depending on which of the options you are inspecting at the moment):


"This market will resolve to "Yes" if exactly {number} SpaceX Starship launch successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2024 and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome.

The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used."

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