Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive
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1kแน€6695
2064
48%
chance

Resolves YES if George R. R. Martin publishes "The Winds of Winter" prehumously. NO if he passes away with it still unpublished

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Interesting amount of space between this and "the final book" being published (the one by Jack). Though the Jack McPherson one has a similar estimate.

@EricMoyer How so? This book should be out in a year or two, and the last one will by all indication take 10+ years.

bought แน€50 NO

It won't be released in "A year or two"

It'll be released a year or two after GRRM dies and HBO buys out whoever to get ghostwriters to finish the books.

Fans pray to the gods that George R.R. Martin doesnโ€™t die before finishing the series, only for their prayers to be answered by him turning into a wight and wandering the seven kingdoms for eternity.

bought แน€35 YES

Social security actuarial table says median lifespan remaining of 10.6 years. Adjust down for obesity, but adjust upward a lot for SES.

@Ophiuchus it's latin for "before ground" so if he's cremated instead of being buried, it still counts as prehumously

@JonathanRay โ€ฆareโ€ฆ are you making a joke?

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