Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
45
closes 2049
64%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Amount
Ṁ0
Ṁ50
Ṁ100
Payout if YES
Ṁ15 +55%
New probability
65% +0.7%
This market resolves to "YES" if the sixth novel (current title: "The Winds of Winter") in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series of fantasy novels is released before the death of the author, George R. R. Martin.
Mar 20, 12:36am: Trading ends on 20th September 2049 - GRRMs 100th birthday.
Get Ṁ500 play money
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