Will Winds of Winter come out before George RR Martin dies?
16
Ṁ1kṀ1.2k2050
40%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
40% chance
Will the final book of A Song Of Ice And Fire be published before George R. R. Martin dies?
12% chance
Will "The Winds of Winter" be published while George R. R. Martin is alive
44% chance
Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
88% chance
When will "The Winds of Winter" (A song of Ice and Fire) by George R.R. Martin be published?
Will the sixth novel in the A Song Of Ice And Fire series be released before the death of George R. R. Martin?
52% chance
Winds of Winter released before 2027?
12% chance
Will half life 3 release before The Winds of Winter?
78% chance
When will the Winds of Winter be released
3/27/29
Will George R. R. Martin's next "Not a Blog" post mention "The Winds of Winter"?
20% chance