MANIFOLD
DeepSeek will have the best language model in the world by a clear margin as of Feb 1 2026
20
Ṁ100Ṁ2.7k
resolved Feb 7
Resolved
NO

Resolves YES if DeepSeek has the top language model* in the world by a wide margin as of Feb 1st, 2026. If DeepSeek the organization is absorbed by another org, or otherwise transitions into a new org, then that organization's models are counted instead.

A DeepSeek model leading LMSys Arena by ≥90 points is sufficient but not necessary to count as "a wide margin."

Resolves NO otherwise.

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Plausible candidates for best language model as of Feb 1 are Claude 5.2, Gemini 3, or GPT 5.2. Deepseek V3.1 is not particularly close. If you disagree, feel free to say so.

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