Will an AI get gold on any International Math Olympiad by 2025?
Will AI pass the Longbets version of the Turing test by the end of 2029?
Will a large language model beat a super grandmaster playing chess by 2028?
Will AI outcompete best humans in competitive programming before the end of 2023?
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly selected computer games at human level without getting to practice?
When will an AI figure out how to beat Factorio?
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2027?
What is the next game that AI will beat human pros at?
Will an AI win Advent of Code? (2023)
🐕 Will A.I. Achieve Significantly Higher Performance Over "General Conceptual Skills" in 2023?
Will an AI be able to speedrun any popular video game faster than the human WR by the end of 2024?
What will be the first year that an AI gets gold on an International Mathematical Olympiad?
In 2030, will there be an AI that can write blog posts as good as a 75th percentile ACX post, according to Scott Alexander's judgement?
Will AI get at least bronze on the IMO by 2025?
Will an AI win a gold medal on the IOI (competitive programming contest) before 2027?
Will an AI win a Gold Medal on the International Math Olympiad by 2029?
In 2028, will an AI be able to play randomly-selected computer games at human level, given the chance to train via self-play?
Will AI be capable of completing The Legend of Zelda (NES) with no prior knowledge by Sept. 21, 2024?
Will an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
In 2029, will any AI be able to work as a competent cook in an arbitrary kitchen? (Gary Marcus benchmark #3)