This market resolves YES if any current NATO member country officially announces its intention to withdraw from the North Atlantic Treaty Organization before 2026.

Resolution criteria: An official announcement by a government or a formal notice of denunciation as per Article 13 of the North Atlantic Treaty will count as a YES resolution. The announcement must come from an authorized government representative (head of state, prime minister, foreign minister, etc.) and clearly state the intention to withdraw from NATO.

References:

• https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Withdrawal_from_NATO

• https://www.defense.gov/Spotlights/nato/