In all likelihood, this would be a lawsuit over H.R.7521, but any case that is clearly about TikTok would count.
Broad tech-related cases like NetChoice would not qualify.
See also: /DanMan314/if-scotus-takes-on-a-case-over-tikt
Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - The issuance of certiorari by the Supreme Court will be considered sufficient for a YES outcome. (AI summary of creator comment)
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ5,705 | |
| 2 | Ṁ131 | |
| 3 | Ṁ45 | |
| 4 | Ṁ34 | |
| 5 | Ṁ24 |
Oral arguments haven't begun yet, but the fact that the Supreme Court has issued certiorari seems to suffice for YES. Legal proceedings for the case have begun. Apologies for taking on (that vague phrase again) a market that I didn't fully understand. In my defense, resolution criteria are hard and I didn't even write them 😅
SCOTUS have agreed to take on a case on TikTok, but not until January (the 10th). Is this question about whether they'll agree in 2024 to take it on, or whether they'll agree to take it in on in 2024? Because one has happened, and the other is almost certain not to happen. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/18/us/politics/supreme-court-tiktok-ban.html
@MugaSofer IMO the plain reading of the question is about when they will take up the case, if they do. There is no further specification so we shouldn’t interpret the question as being about their decision to take up the case.
On Wednesday morning the justices agreed to weigh in – and, in a relatively unusual move that likely reflects the time-sensitive nature of the dispute, did so without first asking the Biden administration to respond. Both sides will file an opening brief by 5 p.m. on Dec. 27, followed by reply briefs by 5 p.m. on Jan. 3.
https://www.scotusblog.com/2024/12/justices-to-hear-argument-on-tiktok-ban-on-jan-10/
The question is whether court has taken up the case when they have received the opening briefs, all the briefs, or only when oral arguments begin.
@MugaSofer This question wasn't originally mine, so I don't have any "original intentions" or anything to draw on. I agree with @NicoDelon that a straightforward reading of the question implies that the case must be taken on in 2024, and that an agreement to take it on shouldn't resolve YES on its own. The market seems to disagree, though! I may have to enlist some outside help on this one.
The market seems to disagree, though!
To be fair, some of that is my fault for getting cold feet and selling at a loss to reduce my exposure.
TikTok sued the US today in the US Court of Appeals, with the NYT saying "Several legal experts expect the case to land in front of the Supreme Court."