
Will the SCOTUS make a controversial, decisive decision in the 2028 presidential election?
2
100Ṁ2452029
1D
1W
1M
ALL
83%
No
4%
Yes, in favor of Democrats
12%
Yes, in favor of Republicans
Decisive: if the decision was not made, there's a good chance that the other party would've won.
Controversial: decided by me, in conversation with traders, based on a high level of controversy in the mainstream legal community.
Bush v Gore would be classified as 'Yes, in favor of Republicans', even though some recounts still had Bush winning.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bush_v._Gore
I will not bet in this market.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
Related questions
Related questions
Who will be elected president in 2028?
2028 US Presidential Election winner?
Who will win the 2028 United States presidential election?
Who will win the 2028 United States Presidential Election?
Who will win the 2028 US presidential election?
Who will win the 2028 US presidential elections?
Conditional on Trump being elected in 2024, will the Supreme Court allow him to seek a third term in 2028?
8% chance
Conditional on Trump winning will the 2028 election be fairly held?
91% chance
Conditional on their 2024 nominee, will the Democratic candidate for president win in 2028?
Will the Democratic Party win the 2028 Presidential Election?
55% chance