Will Italy decide to leave the EU by 2040?
Basic
6
Ṁ3202040
9%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves “yes” if Italy triggers article 50 or leaves the EU through some other means by 1st January 2040, or if a majority in a referendum votes for Italy to leave the EU.
“No” if Italy is still in the EU by 1st January 2040 and hasn’t voted to leave or triggered a leaving mechanism.
N/A if the EU or Italy cease to exist before 1st January 2040. This market is not impacted if either Italy or the EU changes name.
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