Will Scotland choose to leave the UK before 2040?
14
210Ṁ2622040
41%
chance
1H
6H
1D
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This market resolves to “yes” if Scotland either votes to leave in a referendum or actually does leave the UK through some other means before January 1st 2040.
It resolves “No” if Scotland does not leave or vote to leave.
It resolves “n/a” if Scotland ceases to exist or is annexed by some country or organisation from outside the UK. Choosing to join the EU does not count as “annexation” for this purpose.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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